Lorenzo et al. (2020) Climate change patterns in precipitation over Spain using CORDEX projections for 2021–2050

Identification

• Journal: The Science of The Total Environment
• Year: 2020
• Date: 2020-03-18
• Authors: M. N. Lorenzo, I. Álvarez
• DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138024

Research Groups

• Environmental Physics Laboratory (EphysLab), CIM-UVIGO, Universidade de Vigo, Spain
• CESAM, Departamento de Física, Universidade de Aveiro, Portugal

Short Summary

This study analyzes future climate change patterns in extreme precipitation indices over Spain for 2021–2050 using EURO-CORDEX simulations, projecting a general decrease in annual precipitation and wet days, an increase in dry days, and positive changes in maximum daily precipitation.

Objective

• To analyze climate change scenarios in extreme precipitation indices over Spain using simulations from the EURO-CORDEX project for the near future (2021–2050) relative to a reference past climate (1971–2000).

Study Configuration

• Spatial Scale: Spain
• Temporal Scale: Future period: 2021–2050; Reference period: 1971–2000

Methodology and Data

• Models used: EURO-CORDEX project simulations
• Data sources: Climate model projections

Main Results

• Future annual precipitation is projected to decrease across most of Spain, with positive changes detected in the central area due to a significant increase in winter precipitation.
• Consecutive wet days are projected to decrease annually across the country, primarily due to significant decreases in spring and, to a lesser extent, in winter.
• Consecutive dry days are projected to increase overall, resulting from significant increases in spring, summer, and autumn.
• Positive changes are projected for the maximum daily precipitation during winter and autumn.

Contributions

• Provides specific regional projections of extreme precipitation indices for Spain using EURO-CORDEX simulations, offering insights into future climate change impacts on water resources and extreme weather events in the region.

Funding

• Not specified in the provided text.

Citation

@article{Lorenzo2020Climate,
  author = {Lorenzo, M. N. and Álvarez, I.},
  title = {Climate change patterns in precipitation over Spain using CORDEX projections for 2021–2050},
  journal = {The Science of The Total Environment},
  year = {2020},
  doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138024},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138024}
}