Castillo et al. (2025) Evaluation of Monin‐Obukhov Similarity Theory Wind Profiles in Convective Storm Environments and Cold Pools at the ARM Southern Great Plains Atmospheric Observatory
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Identification
- Journal: Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
- Year: 2025
- Date: 2025-09-18
- Authors: J. Alvarez Castillo, Ian N. Williams
- DOI: 10.1029/2025jd043659
Research Groups
Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Program
Short Summary
This study evaluates the performance of Monin-Obukhov similarity theory (MOST) in fair-weather and convective storm environments using observational data, finding that MOST accurately predicts wind profiles in fair weather but systematically overestimates wind shear in cold pools following convective storms.
Objective
- To understand the nature of prediction errors in Monin-Obukhov similarity theory (MOST) in and around convective storms by evaluating MOST wind profiles against observations in fair-weather and convective storm environments.
Study Configuration
- Spatial Scale: Point observations at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Southern Great Plains Atmospheric Observatory, evaluating phenomena at the mesoscale (convective storms, mesoscale convective systems, ordinary thunderstorms, cold pools).
- Temporal Scale: Event-based (fair-weather and convective storm periods) and instantaneous profile evaluation.
Methodology and Data
- Models used: Monin-Obukhov similarity theory (MOST)
- Data sources: Wind and eddy covariance flux measurements from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Southern Great Plains Atmospheric Observatory.
Main Results
- MOST wind profiles showed good agreement with observations in fair-weather conditions.
- In convective storm environments, MOST systematically overestimated wind shear in cold pools after gust front passage.
- Surface layer stability was identified as an important factor in assessing MOST performance within convective storm environments.
- The overestimation of wind shear in cold pools suggests the significant role of non-local fluxes in downward momentum transfer.
Contributions
- Provides an observational evaluation of MOST performance specifically within convective storm environments, including mesoscale convective systems and ordinary thunderstorms.
- Identifies a systematic error in MOST (overestimation of wind shear) in cold pools, a critical region for numerical weather prediction.
- Highlights the importance of surface layer stability in assessing MOST in dynamic convective conditions.
- Suggests the influence of non-local fluxes in momentum transfer during these events.
- Offers recommendations for improving surface wind and flux predictions in convective storm simulations.
Funding
Not specified in the abstract.
Citation
@article{Castillo2025Evaluation,
author = {Castillo, J. Alvarez and Williams, Ian N.},
title = {Evaluation of Monin‐Obukhov Similarity Theory Wind Profiles in Convective Storm Environments and Cold Pools at the ARM Southern Great Plains Atmospheric Observatory},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres},
year = {2025},
doi = {10.1029/2025jd043659},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1029/2025jd043659}
}
Original Source: https://doi.org/10.1029/2025jd043659