Dobiašová et al. (2025) The Impact of Climate Change on Changes in the Onset and Termination of Growing Seasons and the Area of Agriculturally Usable Land in Slovakia

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Identification

• Journal: Atmosphere
• Year: 2025
• Date: 2025-12-09
• Authors: Ivana Dobiašová, Ján Čimo, Martin Minárik, Monika Božíková, Andrej Tárník
• DOI: 10.3390/atmos16121389

Research Groups

Not specified in the provided text.

Short Summary

This study aimed to evaluate and revise the spatial extent of vegetation zones and agricultural land in Slovakia under projected climate change. It found that growing seasons are expected to lengthen significantly and shift to higher altitudes by the end of the century, impacting agricultural potential.

Objective

• To evaluate and revise the spatial extent of vegetation zones and agricultural land in Slovakia due to projected climate change impacts on temperature, moisture, phenological patterns, and soil properties.

Study Configuration

• Spatial Scale: Slovakia
• Temporal Scale: Past 30 years (analysis), 1971–1980 (baseline), 2091–2100 (projection), by 2100 (projection).

Methodology and Data

• Models used: Not specified in the provided text.
• Data sources: Not explicitly mentioned in the provided text, but implies historical climate and phenological data for a detailed analysis of the past 30 years.

Main Results

• The growing season has become both earlier and later in its onset and cessation over the past 30 years.
• By 2091–2100, the great growing season (GGS) is projected to be 25–30 days longer, and the main growing season (MGS) 20 days longer than at present.
• Extended growing seasons are expected to encompass larger areas and gradually shift to higher altitudes.
• The 220–240-day category of the GGS spatial domain is currently dominant (1.7–2.3 million hectares).
• GGS durations exceeding 260 days, which were absent in 1971–1980, are expected to increase the area of the growing season by approximately 55,000 hectares by 2100.
• For the MGS, the 160–190-day category remains prevalent (approximately 2.5 million hectares).
• Only moderate future increases for MGS up to 220 days are expected, with extended durations remaining constrained to less than 50,000 hectares.

Contributions

• Quantifies the projected lengthening and spatial redistribution of great and main growing seasons in Slovakia under climate change.
• Provides a revised understanding of the potential shifts in vegetation zones and agricultural land suitability, highlighting areas of increased and decreased agricultural potential.

Funding

Not specified in the provided text.

Citation

@article{Dobiašová2025Impact,
  author = {Dobiašová, Ivana and Čimo, Ján and Minárik, Martin and Božíková, Monika and Tárník, Andrej},
  title = {The Impact of Climate Change on Changes in the Onset and Termination of Growing Seasons and the Area of Agriculturally Usable Land in Slovakia},
  journal = {Atmosphere},
  year = {2025},
  doi = {10.3390/atmos16121389},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16121389}
}