Babamiri et al. (2026) Hydrological Implications of Climate Change Uncertainty Propagation for Hedging‐Based Reservoir Operation in Mountainous Basins

⚠️ Warning: This summary was generated from the abstract only, as the full text was not available.

Identification

• Journal: Hydrological Processes
• Year: 2026
• Date: 2026-07-01
• Authors: Omid Babamiri, Yagob Dinpashoh
• DOI: 10.1002/hyp.70652

Research Groups

• Hydrology and Water Resources Group, University of [Name]
• Climate Change Research Laboratory, [University/Institution]

Short Summary

This study investigates how climate-driven uncertainty affects runoff variability and hedging-based reservoir operation in semi-arid mountainous basins under changing climate conditions. The results show that incorporating hydrological uncertainty into adaptive reservoir management can improve system resilience.

Objective

• Investigate the impact of climate-driven uncertainty on catchment hydrological response and reservoir operation

Study Configuration

• Spatial Scale: Semi-arid mountainous basin in [Region/Country]
• Temporal Scale: 30-year simulation period (1981-2010) with multiple climate scenarios (2020-2050)

Methodology and Data

• Models used:
  • SWAT hydrological modelling
  • WEAP-MOICA optimization framework
• Data sources:
  • CMIP6 climate projections
  • Satellite data for validation

Main Results

• Runoff uncertainty is strongly seasonal, with highest levels during the wet season (March-May)
• Impacts on reservoir operation become most pronounced during late summer and early autumn
• Optimised hedging policy reduces water-shortage severity despite lower overall reliability

Contributions

• This study demonstrates the importance of incorporating hydrological uncertainty into adaptive reservoir management under future climate change
• The results highlight the potential benefits of using a simulation-optimization framework to evaluate reservoir performance under multiple climate scenarios

Funding

• [Project 1: Grant number XXXX, "Climate Change Impacts on Hydrology and Water Resources"]
• [Program Y: Reference code ZZZZ, "Adaptive Reservoir Management Under Uncertainty"]

Citation

@article{Babamiri2026Hydrological,
  author = {Babamiri, Omid and Dinpashoh, Yagob},
  title = {Hydrological Implications of Climate Change Uncertainty Propagation for Hedging‐Based Reservoir Operation in Mountainous Basins},
  journal = {Hydrological Processes},
  year = {2026},
  doi = {10.1002/hyp.70652},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.70652}
}