Arundhati et al. (2026) Changing Rainfall Patterns in the Northwest Himalayas: Analysis of Climate-Induced Variability in Kashmir, India

Identification

• Journal: Lecture notes in civil engineering
• Year: 2026
• Date: 2026-01-01
• Authors: Arundhati, Manmeet Kaur
• DOI: 10.1007/978-981-95-0736-8_3

Research Groups

Civil Engineering Department, University Institute of Engineering, Chandigarh University, Mohali, Punjab, India.

Short Summary

This study analyzed historical meteorological data from 1981 to 2022 in the Kashmir region of the Northwest Himalayas to identify climate-induced variability in rainfall and temperature patterns. It found statistically insignificant rising trends in maximum temperatures and mixed, also insignificant, trends in minimum temperatures, while rainfall trends appeared relatively stable.

Objective

• To examine changes in rainfall patterns and climate-induced variability in the Kashmir region of the Northwest Himalayas, India.

Study Configuration

• Spatial Scale: Kashmir region, Northwest Himalayas, India (specifically including Srinagar, Bandipora, Anantnag, Kupwara, and Baramulla).
• Temporal Scale: 1981 to 2022 (42 years).

Methodology and Data

• Models used: Statistical approaches including correlation, time series analysis, trend analysis (Mann–Kendall test), and descriptive analysis.
• Data sources: Historical meteorological data.

Main Results

• Maximum temperatures showed a marginal rising trend, with the largest increases in Srinagar (0.242 °C) and Bandipora (0.247 °C), though these trends were statistically insignificant (p > 0.05).
• Minimum temperatures exhibited rising tendencies in Anantnag, Kupwara, and Srinagar, but also statistically insignificant drops in Bandipora and Baramulla; all minimum temperature trends were not statistically reliable.
• Pre-monsoon rainfall in Kupwara (2518 mm) and monsoon mean temperature (28.332 °C) in Srinagar indicated relatively stable rainfall trends.
• Significant seasonal differences in temperature and precipitation were observed across the study sites.

Contributions

Provides a detailed statistical analysis of long-term (42 years) rainfall and temperature trends in the Kashmir region, Northwest Himalayas, using historical meteorological data, contributing to the understanding of climate-induced variability in this specific, climate-sensitive area.

Funding

Not explicitly mentioned in the provided text.

Citation

@article{Arundhati2026Changing,
  author = {Arundhati and Kaur, Manmeet},
  title = {Changing Rainfall Patterns in the Northwest Himalayas: Analysis of Climate-Induced Variability in Kashmir, India},
  journal = {Lecture notes in civil engineering},
  year = {2026},
  doi = {10.1007/978-981-95-0736-8_3},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-95-0736-8_3}
}