Huang et al. (2026) Stage‐Specific Associations Between Extreme Climate Events and Crop Failures Across China

⚠️ Warning: This summary was generated from the abstract only, as the full text was not available.

Identification

• Journal: Earth s Future
• Year: 2026
• Date: 2026-09-01
• Authors: Shuyuan Huang, Yujie Liu, Junjie Liu, Ermei Zhang, Jiahao Chen, Tao Pan
• DOI: 10.1029/2026ef008789

Research Groups

• Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
• Key Laboratory of Regional Climate–Environment Research for Temperate Eastern China, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Short Summary

This study develops an event-level diagnostic framework to quantify the association between crop failures and climate variability in China from 1981 to 2018. The findings support phenology-aware diagnostics for resolving crop-specific climate risks.

Objective

• Investigate the statistical associations between crop failures and temperature-precipitation extremes during different growth stages

Study Configuration

• Spatial Scale: National scale, with a focus on China
• Temporal Scale: 38 years (1981-2018)

Methodology and Data

• Models used: LOWESS detrending for yield anomalies
• Data sources: Station-based crop yield, phenology, and daily meteorological observations

Main Results

• Crop failures affected 70.0%–100.0% of monitored crop sites across crop systems and contributed 48.8%–54.4% of cumulative negative yield anomalies.
• Background occurrence rates of single and compound extremes during VGP increased after 2000, while corresponding rates during RGP decreased.

Contributions

• This study provides a novel event-level diagnostic framework for resolving crop-specific climate risks and identifying critical growth-stage windows.

Funding

• National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41675043 and 41975103)

Citation

@article{Huang2026StageSpecific,
  author = {Huang, Shuyuan and Liu, Yujie and Liu, Junjie and Zhang, Ermei and Chen, Jiahao and Pan, Tao},
  title = {Stage‐Specific Associations Between Extreme Climate Events and Crop Failures Across China},
  journal = {Earth s Future},
  year = {2026},
  doi = {10.1029/2026ef008789},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1029/2026ef008789}
}