Haile (2026) Intensifying Drought in the Nile River Basin (NRB) under Climate Change: Increasing Influence of Atmospheric Evaporative Demand

Identification

• Journal: Mendeley Data
• Year: 2026
• Date: 2026-02-17
• Authors: Mesfin Mamo Haile
• DOI: 10.17632/kfxjbhw6t9.1

Research Groups

• Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Beijing

Short Summary

This study investigates intensifying drought in the Nile River Basin under climate change, highlighting the increasing influence of atmospheric evaporative demand, using daily ensemble-mean SPEI derived from 12 NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 Global Climate Models.

Objective

• To assess the intensification of drought in the Nile River Basin (NRB) under climate change and quantify the increasing influence of atmospheric evaporative demand on these drought conditions.

Study Configuration

• Spatial Scale: Nile River Basin (NRB)
• Temporal Scale: Daily resolution, projecting future climate change scenarios.

Methodology and Data

• Models used: 12 NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 Global Climate Models (GCMs)
• Data sources: Outputs from 12 NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 GCMs for precipitation and atmospheric evaporative demand, used to derive daily ensemble-mean Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI).

Main Results

• Droughts in the Nile River Basin are projected to intensify under future climate change scenarios.
• Atmospheric evaporative demand is identified as an increasingly significant factor contributing to the intensification of drought in the region.

Contributions

• Provides a comprehensive assessment of future drought intensification in the Nile River Basin under climate change using a multi-model ensemble of NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 GCMs.
• Quantifies the increasing role of atmospheric evaporative demand in driving drought conditions, offering critical insights for water resource management and adaptation strategies in the region.

Funding

• Not specified in the provided text.

Citation

@article{Haile2026Intensifying,
  author = {Haile, Mesfin Mamo},
  title = {Intensifying Drought in the Nile River Basin (NRB) under Climate Change: Increasing Influence of Atmospheric Evaporative Demand},
  journal = {Mendeley Data},
  year = {2026},
  doi = {10.17632/kfxjbhw6t9.1},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.17632/kfxjbhw6t9.1}
}