Jukić et al. (2026) Contrasting Temperature and Precipitation Responses to Climate Change at a Central Adriatic Coastal Station: A Multi-Timescale Analysis of Split–Marjan, Croatia

⚠️ Warning: This summary was generated from the abstract only, as the full text was not available.

Identification

• Journal: Climate
• Year: 2026
• Date: 2026-11-02
• Authors: Damir Jukić, Vesna Denić‐Jukić
• DOI: 10.3390/cli14110235

Research Groups

Not provided in the paper text.

Short Summary

This study examines contrasting temperature and precipitation responses to climate change at Split–Marjan, Croatia, revealing pronounced warming, an increase in warm-dry days, and heterogeneous precipitation changes despite no significant trend in annual totals.

Objective

• To examine contrasting temperature and precipitation responses to climate change at Split–Marjan, Croatia, by analyzing long-term trends, change points, extremes, compound events, and conditional precipitation–temperature relationships.

Study Configuration

• Spatial Scale: Station-scale study at Split–Marjan, Croatia.
• Temporal Scale: Daily observations (1948–2025) and hourly observations (1996–2025).

Methodology and Data

• Models used: Not applicable; observational study.
• Data sources: Daily and hourly meteorological observations from Split–Marjan, Croatia.

Main Results

• Annual mean air temperature increased by 0.581 °C decade⁻¹ (p < 0.001) during 1996–2025.
• Increasingly frequent warm extremes and heatwaves were observed.
• Annual precipitation totals showed no significant long-term trend.
• Mean wet-hour precipitation intensity increased, while the relative contribution of the most intense wet hours decreased.
• Annual maximum precipitation accumulated over durations of 1–24 hours exhibited no statistically significant trends.
• Compound conditions showed a pronounced increase in warm–dry days (+11.36 days decade⁻¹, p < 0.001) and a decrease in cold–dry days (−10.00 days decade⁻¹, p < 0.001).
• Heavy hourly precipitation exhibited nonlinear temperature scaling, with an empirical breakpoint at approximately 21 °C, below which conditional intensity increased with temperature and above which it decreased.

Contributions

• Demonstrates pronounced warming accompanied by heterogeneous precipitation responses at a station scale.
• Emphasizes changes in the thermal characteristics of dry conditions, particularly the increase in warm-dry days.
• Provides an observational basis for future investigations of climate-related impacts on coastal water resources.

Funding

Not provided in the paper text.

Citation

@article{Jukić2026Contrasting,
  author = {Jukić, Damir and Denić‐Jukić, Vesna},
  title = {Contrasting Temperature and Precipitation Responses to Climate Change at a Central Adriatic Coastal Station: A Multi-Timescale Analysis of Split–Marjan, Croatia},
  journal = {Climate},
  year = {2026},
  doi = {10.3390/cli14110235},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14110235}
}