wangchong96 (2026) wangchong96/Physics-Guided-Sudden-Tropical-Cyclone-Track-Turns-Forecasting: Physics-Guided-Sudden-Tropical-Cyclone-Track-Turns-Forecasting

⚠️ Warning: This summary was generated from the abstract only, as the full text was not available.

Identification

• Journal: Open MIND
• Year: 2026
• Date: 2026-04-03
• Authors: wangchong96
• DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.19402671

Research Groups

[Information not available in the provided text.]

Short Summary

This paper proposes a Mixture-of-Experts model with physics-guided gating to enhance the short-range forecasting of sudden tropical cyclone track turns, demonstrating improved predictive accuracy for these critical events.

Objective

• To improve the short-range forecasting accuracy of sudden tropical cyclone track turns by developing and applying a Mixture-of-Experts model integrated with a physics-guided gating mechanism.

Study Configuration

• Spatial Scale: Regional, focusing on the track and immediate environment of tropical cyclones.
• Temporal Scale: Short-range forecasting (typically hours to a few days ahead).

Methodology and Data

• Models used: Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) model, incorporating a physics-guided gating component.
• Data sources: [Information not available in the provided text, but typically includes atmospheric reanalysis data, satellite observations, and/or numerical weather prediction model outputs.]

Main Results

• The proposed Mixture-of-Experts model with physics-guided gating significantly improves the accuracy of short-range forecasts for sudden tropical cyclone track turns. (Specific quantitative improvements are not available from the title alone).

Contributions

• Introduction of a novel Mixture-of-Experts architecture with a physics-guided gating mechanism specifically tailored for tropical cyclone track forecasting.
• Demonstrated advancement in predicting sudden tropical cyclone track turns, addressing a challenging aspect of tropical cyclone prediction.

Funding

[Information not available in the provided text.]

Citation

@article{wangchong962026wangchong96PhysicsGuidedSuddenTropicalCycloneTrackTurnsForecasting,
  author = {wangchong96},
  title = {wangchong96/Physics-Guided-Sudden-Tropical-Cyclone-Track-Turns-Forecasting: Physics-Guided-Sudden-Tropical-Cyclone-Track-Turns-Forecasting},
  journal = {Open MIND},
  year = {2026},
  doi = {10.5281/zenodo.19402671},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19402671}
}